ReliaQuest Bowl 2025 Odds, Spreads: Vanderbilt vs Iowa Expert Picks, Prediction, Best Bets
The 2025 ReliaQuest Bowl features the No. 23 Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4, 6-3 Big Ten) against the No. 14 Vanderbilt Commodores (10-2, 6-2 SEC) in a Big Ten vs. SEC matchup.
Iowa, victims of four close losses (including to Oregon and Indiana), enters their 12th straight bowl and seventh ReliaQuest appearance (3-3 all-time).
Vanderbilt is enjoying its best season ever, with a historic 10 wins and a fringe playoff case; QB Diego Pavia could play his final college game, potentially capping an 11-win year.
Vanderbilt -4 | Predicted score: 27–23 Commodores | Vanderbilt is 10-2 ATS (4-1 as 4+ favorites) and 6-0 as moneyline favorites; eight of 12 games hit the over, but Iowa's D caps scoring.
Vanderbilt 58.5% win probability | Projected: 28–24 Vanderbilt | Model favors Commodores' offense (top-3 SEC passing) vs. Iowa's close-loss resilience; under in 55% sims due to Hawkeyes' No. 8 scoring D.
Vanderbilt -4 | 60% sims cover spread | Highlights Vandy's motivation for 11th win and Pavia's arm; Iowa 3-0 ATS as 4+ underdogs but 0-4 straight-up.
Iowa +4 | Predicted: 24–23 Hawkeyes | Early lean on Iowa's full roster and bowl prep under Kirk Ferentz for a gritty cover.
Vanderbilt -4 | Consensus: Commodores win by 4–7 points | Pavia's Heisman finalist form (Johnny Unitas winner) overwhelms in a defensive battle.
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ReliaQuest Bowl 2025: Vanderbilt vs Iowa Picks, Prediction, Odds
BetMGM:
Vanderbilt -4 (-110) | Iowa +4 (-110) | O/U 49.5 (-110) | Moneyline: Vanderbilt -176 / Iowa +150
Vanderbilt -4 (-110) | Iowa +4 (-110) | O/U 49.5 (-110) | Moneyline: Vanderbilt -176 / Iowa +150
FanDuel:
Vanderbilt -4 (-110) | Moneyline: Vanderbilt -170 / Iowa +142 | O/U 49.5
Vanderbilt -4 (-110) | Moneyline: Vanderbilt -170 / Iowa +142 | O/U 49.5
DraftKings:
Vanderbilt -4 (-110) | Moneyline: Vanderbilt -175 / Iowa +145 | O/U 49.5
Vanderbilt -4 (-110) | Moneyline: Vanderbilt -175 / Iowa +145 | O/U 49.5
Expert Picks & Predictions
USA Today Sportsbook Wire:
Vanderbilt -4 | Predicted score: 27–23 Commodores | Vanderbilt is 10-2 ATS (4-1 as 4+ favorites) and 6-0 as moneyline favorites; eight of 12 games hit the over, but Iowa's D caps scoring.
ESPN FPI & Experts:
Vanderbilt 58.5% win probability | Projected: 28–24 Vanderbilt | Model favors Commodores' offense (top-3 SEC passing) vs. Iowa's close-loss resilience; under in 55% sims due to Hawkeyes' No. 8 scoring D.
CBS Sports Model:
Vanderbilt -4 | 60% sims cover spread | Highlights Vandy's motivation for 11th win and Pavia's arm; Iowa 3-0 ATS as 4+ underdogs but 0-4 straight-up.
Action Network (Collin Wilson):
Iowa +4 | Predicted: 24–23 Hawkeyes | Early lean on Iowa's full roster and bowl prep under Kirk Ferentz for a gritty cover.
Yardbarker/Hawk Central:
Vanderbilt -4 | Consensus: Commodores win by 4–7 points | Pavia's Heisman finalist form (Johnny Unitas winner) overwhelms in a defensive battle.
Best Bet:
Under 49.5 (-110) – Iowa's stingy D (15.2 ppg allowed) clashes with Vandy's but limits explosives in a low-scoring affair.
Under 49.5 (-110) – Iowa's stingy D (15.2 ppg allowed) clashes with Vandy's but limits explosives in a low-scoring affair.
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