2025 Army vs. Navy Game: Odds, Predictions, Spread from ESPN, FOX Sports, and More
Drawing from ESPN, FOX Sports, and other sources (as of December 12, 2025), here's the latest data on the 126th Army-Navy Game (Saturday, Dec. 13, 3 p.m. ET, CBS at M&T Bank Stadium). Navy (9-2) is the favorite after a strong close to the season, but Army's (6-5) defensive surge makes it competitive. Navy leads the series 63-55-7.
Drawing from ESPN, FOX Sports, and other sources (as of December 12, 2025), here's the latest data on the 126th Army-Navy Game (Saturday, Dec. 13, 3 p.m. ET, CBS at M&T Bank Stadium). Navy (9-2) is the favorite after a strong close to the season, but Army's (6-5) defensive surge makes it competitive. Navy leads the series 63-55-7.
Latest Odds and Lines
- Spread: Navy -6.5 (Army +6.5; vig around -110/-112)
- Moneyline: Navy -250 (implied 71% win prob.); Army +210 (32%)
- Over/Under: 38.5 points (Over -110/-105; Under -110/-102)
- First-Half Lines (from ESPN BET): Spread Navy -3.5 (-105/+ -115); Total 19.5 (Over -125/Under +102)
- Trends: Under has cashed in 17 of last 19 Army-Navy games; underdog covers 10-4 ATS since 2011. Navy is 7-4 ATS overall but 2-5 as 6+ favorites. Army covers in 5 of 11 games this year.
Key Team Stats and Matchup Notes
- Navy Offense: Explosive with QB Blake Horvath (1,390 pass yds, 9 TDs; team #4 nationally in 20+ yd rushes with 30). Racked up 3,282 rushing yds (2nd in NCAA) and 38 TDs (4th). Recent wins: 28-17 over Memphis, showing red-zone efficiency (tied for #1).
- Army Defense: Allowed ≤24 pts in 6 of last 7; strong vs. run but vulnerable to chunk plays (83rd in rush yds allowed). Offense: Ground-heavy under QB Cale Hellums, but only 12 long runs (84th nationally).
- Edge: Navy's passing adds unpredictability; Army must win field position via punts/special teams. Cold weather (breezy, low 40s) favors undersized defenses grinding it out. FOX notes Navy's vulnerability to ground attacks (e.g., 265 rush yds allowed to Notre Dame).
Expert Predictions and Picks
- ESPN (Matchup Predictor): Army 65.9% win probability. Pick: Army +6.5 (leans cover; expects grind-it-out under 39.5).
- FOX Sports (Data Skrive Model): Navy favored; model projects Midshipmen win by 7-10 pts. Pick: Navy -6.5, Under 38.5 (highlights Navy's 7-4 ATS record and Army's road woes at 2-3 away).
- CBS Sports Consensus (from earlier panel): 6/9 experts on Navy -6 (e.g., Tom Fornelli: "Horvath's explosives make the difference"); 3 on Army SU (e.g., David Cobb: "Rivalry chaos favors Black Knights"). Overall: Navy 24-17 projected.
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