2026 College Football Playoff Semifinals: Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions



 As of early January 2026 (lines from major sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, CBS Sports, and expert consensus), here are the latest opening and current odds for the two CFP semifinals. Lines can fluctuate, so check sportsbooks for real-time updates.


Vrbo Fiesta Bowl: No. 10 Miami Hurricanes (12-2) vs. No. 6 Ole Miss Rebels (13-1) Thursday, January 8, 2026 – 7:30 p.m. ET – State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
  • Spread: Miami -2.5 to -3.5 (opened at -2.5 on DraftKings; some books at -3)
  • Moneyline: Miami -135 to -150; Ole Miss +110 to +125
  • Over/Under Total: 51.5 points
  • Expert Picks & Predictions:
    • CBS Sports: Miami covers -3.5, citing the Hurricanes' elite defensive line (Rueben Bain & Akheem Mesidor) overwhelming Ole Miss' offense.
    • Heavy.com: Ole Miss upset win (27-24), covering +3 – backing Trinidad Chambliss' clutch play.
    • Consensus: Split, but slight lean to Miami due to defensive dominance in playoffs (held opponents low-scoring). Many see a physical, lower-scoring game.
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers (14-0) vs. No. 5 Oregon Ducks (13-1) Friday, January 9, 2026 – 7:30 p.m. ET – Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • Spread: Indiana -4 to -4.5 (opened at -4 on DraftKings/FanDuel)
  • Moneyline: Indiana -180 to -200; Oregon +154 to +164
  • Over/Under Total: 47.5 points
  • Expert Picks & Predictions:
    • CBS Sports: Indiana covers -4.5, trusting their dominant performance vs. Alabama and head-to-head win (30-20 regular season).
    • Athlon Sports/DraftKings: Indiana favored, but note "hard to beat a team twice" – potential for closer game with Oregon's defensive adjustments.
    • Consensus: Strong lean to Indiana staying undefeated behind Heisman QB Fernando Mendoza; expect trench control and lower-scoring rematch.
These Cinderella-filled semis have tight lines reflecting the upsets so far. Miami's pass rush vs. Ole Miss' explosion and Indiana's momentum vs. Oregon's revenge are the big storylines. Favorites are around -140 to -200 across books.